League hub · England · Tier 1

Premier League 2026‑27: the real table

The short answerArsenal are the best-performing side in the Premier League on our underlying numbers, and also the league's highest-rated club globally (1910, world No. 1). The luckiest side on results is Manchester City (+5.7 points), the unluckiest Nottingham Forest (−8.7). Results to 25 Oct 2026.

Clubs

1910

Top rating · Arsenal

1st

World league rank, of 228

+5.7

Luckiest · Manchester City

Performance table

World league ranking →

#	Club	Rating	Pts/game	Expected	Luck (pts)	Verdict	Trend
1	Arsenal World 1 · range 1–4	1910	2.62	1.96	+5.3	lucky	falling
2	Manchester City World 4 · range 1–6	1850	2.62	1.92	+5.7	lucky	steady
3	Liverpool World 7 · range 5–18	1772	1.71	1.59	+0.9	fair	steady
4	Brighton World 9 · range 6–22	1751	2.29	1.84	+3.1	lucky	rising
5	Aston Villa World 11 · range 6–24	1747	1.38	0.79	+4.6	lucky	falling
6	Chelsea World 13 · range 7–26	1736	1.62	1.22	+3.2	lucky	falling
7	Manchester United World 14 · range 7–29	1728	1.00	1.67	−4.7	unlucky	steady
8	Bournemouth World 16 · range 7–31	1721	0.86	1.55	−4.9	unlucky	steady
9	Brentford World 18 · range 7–33	1709	1.43	1.69	−1.8	fair	steady
10	Leeds United World 23 · range 10–42	1677	1.43	1.45	−0.2	fair	steady
11	Newcastle United World 25 · range 12–44	1670	1.14	0.86	+2.0	fair	falling
12	Tottenham Hotspur World 30 · range 15–48	1654	1.12	1.09	+0.3	fair	steady
13	Nottingham Forest World 34 · range 19–55	1636	0.75	1.83	−8.7	unlucky	rising
14	Crystal Palace World 35 · range 19–55	1635	1.00	1.08	−0.6	fair	falling
15	Everton World 36 · range 19–56	1632	1.25	1.52	−2.2	fair	steady
16	Fulham World 43 · range 25–72	1602	1.00	1.01	−0.1	fair	steady
17	Sunderland World 48 · range 29–80	1589	0.57	1.54	−6.8	unlucky	steady
18	Ipswich Town World 62 · range 38–105	1547	1.25	1.14	+0.9	fair	steady
19	Coventry City World 97 · range 56–156	1493	0.75	0.91	−1.3	fair	steady
20	Hull City World 197 · range 124–328	1393	1.29	1.09	+1.4	fair	rising

# is the club's rank on underlying performance this season. Luck is actual points minus the points its performances would normally earn. Full ten-pillar club Index scores for Premier League clubs arrive with the full launch in mid-November.

Analysis

Premier League · Match analysis

Aston Villa 2-1 Man City: how Emery's side beat the unbeaten

FAQ

Who is the best team in the Premier League?

On underlying performance, Arsenal. On our global rating, Arsenal (1910).

Which Premier League team is the luckiest?

Manchester City, whose results are about 5.7 points ahead of their performances.

Performance table

Analysis

Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth: are United really a 16th-placed side?

Chelsea 0-2 Spurs: how De Zerbi took over Stamford Bridge

Manchester United v Bournemouth: two good sides, two bad tables

Aston Villa 2-1 Man City: how Emery's side beat the unbeaten

FAQ